Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.148247 0.173421 0.201100 0.233725 0.271062 0.312387 0.361518
2026-02-01 0.103710 0.136825 0.177227 0.229834 0.296173 0.376670 0.481319
2026-02-08 0.078942 0.114177 0.160683 0.225881 0.314121 0.428479 0.586814
2026-02-15 0.061153 0.095706 0.144463 0.217180 0.321516 0.464189 0.672002
2026-02-22 0.053937 0.090158 0.144179 0.228935 0.356429 0.538416 0.814371
2026-03-01 0.044153 0.078717 0.133110 0.222708 0.363678 0.573208 0.903094
2026-03-08 0.036154 0.068537 0.122157 0.214603 0.366245 0.600178 0.981332
2026-03-15 0.030373 0.060998 0.114169 0.209787 0.372737 0.632753 1.069721
2026-03-22 0.027043 0.057205 0.111846 0.213851 0.393625 0.689085 1.199146
2026-03-29 0.024937 0.055324 0.112538 0.223023 0.423702 0.762317 1.360980
2026-04-05 0.022493 0.052335 0.110727 0.227314 0.445433 0.823049 1.506286
2026-04-12 0.020004 0.048809 0.107365 0.228189 0.460875 0.873899 1.638133
2026-04-19 0.017661 0.045254 0.103576 0.228007 0.474743 0.923821 1.773561
2026-04-26 0.015380 0.041430 0.098720 0.225143 0.483278 0.964989 1.896932
2026-05-03 0.013354 0.037811 0.093751 0.221352 0.489451 1.002036 2.015199
2026-05-10 0.011284 0.033660 0.086974 0.212818 0.485089 1.018684 2.096579
2026-05-17 0.010804 0.033515 0.089300 0.224362 0.522957 1.118854 2.341893
2026-05-24 0.009313 0.030354 0.084054 0.218247 0.522990 1.144935 2.446668
2026-05-31 0.007934 0.027205 0.078341 0.210289 0.518125 1.160625 2.531853
2026-06-07 0.006901 0.024838 0.074224 0.205561 0.519811 1.189543 2.644989
2026-06-14 0.006373 0.023903 0.073703 0.209551 0.541540 1.261508 2.849820
2026-06-21 0.006091 0.023698 0.075119 0.218556 0.575638 1.361861 3.119139
2026-06-28 0.005649 0.022871 0.074694 0.222770 0.598782 1.440213 3.347224